Service Plays Sunday 12/13/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 13

Game 105-106: Denver at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 133.520; Indianapolis 139.940
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 6 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7); Under

Game 107-108: Cincinnati at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.952; Minnesota 144.972
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: NY Jets at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 132.646; Tampa Bay 126.885
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 6; 41
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Over

Game 111-112: Buffalo at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 123.994; Kansas City 129.875
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 6; 34
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 37
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Under

Game 113-114: Green Bay at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.359; Chicago 128.010
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over

Game 115-116: New Orleans at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 145.308; Atlanta 135.690
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Detroit at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 120.164; Baltimore 131.959
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 12; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 13 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+13 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Miami at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.251; Jacksonville 131.718
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Carolina at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 132.538; New England 140.808
Dunkel Line: New England by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 13 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+13 1/2); Over

Game 123-124: Seattle at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.006; Houston 134.456
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick Houston (-6); Over

Game 125-126: St. Louis at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 124.252; Tennessee 135.831
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 11 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+13); Under

Game 127-128: Washington at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.571; Oakland 125.230
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Washington by 1; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Under

Game 129-130: San Diego at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.610; Dallas 140.398
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under

Game 131-132: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.306; NY Giants 131.051
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 42
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+1); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 14

Sunday, December 13

DENVER (8 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (12 - 0) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (9 - 3) at MINNESOTA (10 - 2) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 11) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (4 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 9) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (7 - 4) at CHICAGO (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (12 - 0) at ATLANTA (6 - 6) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (2 - 10) at BALTIMORE (6 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (5 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (5 - 7) at HOUSTON (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
SEATTLE is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
SEATTLE is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (1 - 11) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (3 - 9) at OAKLAND (4 - 8) - 12/13/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (9 - 3) at DALLAS (8 - 4) - 12/13/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 4) at NY GIANTS (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 14

Sunday, 12/13/2009

DENVER at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 1-9 ATS after scoring 30+ points
INDIANAPOLIS: 20-7 ATS off BB covers as favorite

CINCINNATI at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 6-0 ATS as an underdog
MINNESOTA: 16-32 ATS off SU loss as favorite

NY JETS at TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET
NY JETS: 3-0 ATS vs. Tampa Bay
TAMPA BAY: 0-7 ATS off BB Unders

BUFFALO at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 5-1 Under at Kansas City
KANSAS CITY: 6-15 ATS in home games

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 23-10 Over vs. conference
CHICAGO: 2-7 ATS vs. conference

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 9-1 Over in December
ATLANTA: 25-10 Over after scoring 9 points or less

DETROIT at BALTIMORE, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 10-1 Over vs. AFC
BALTIMORE: n/a

MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 8-1 ATS Away off SU win
JACKSONVILLE: 0-9 ATS as home favorite

CAROLINA at NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 9-0 Over after allowing 450+ total yards
NEW ENGLAND: 7-0 Under off BB road losses

SEATTLE at HOUSTON, 1:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
HOUSTON: 6-0 ATS in home December games

ST LOUIS at TENNESSEE, 4:05 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-9 ATS off road loss
TENNESSEE: 32-14 ATS vs. NFC

WASHINGTON at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 18-9 Under in all games
OAKLAND: 0-6 ATS vs. team with losing record

SAN DIEGO at DALLAS, 4:15 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 11-0 ATS Away if 50+ pts were scored BB games
DALLAS: 1-8 ATS in December

PHILADELPHIA at NY GIANTS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PHILADELPHIA: 11-3 Under after scoring 30+ points
NY GIANTS: 22-8 ATS off SU dog win over division rival

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 14

Trend Report

Sunday, December 13

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. KANSAS CITYBuffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ENGLAND
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MINNESOTA
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Denver is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
NY Jets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. TENNESSEE
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-21 SU in its last 22 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OAKLAND
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home

4:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. DALLAS
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

8:20 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL WRITE-UP

Week 14 NFL games

Sunday, December 13

Broncos (8-4) @ Colts (12-0)-- Unbeaten Indy is just 2-4 as home favorite so far in '09, with home wins by 2-17-4-3-1-10 points. Broncos scored 70 points in last two games; they're 5-3 vs spread as underdog- all four of their losses are by 10+ points. Way to beat Indy is to possess ball, move chains, keep Colts offense off field; Denver ran ball for average of 154.5 ypg in last four weeks. Denver scored 19 points in only two games on artificial turf this year. Under is 9-3 in Denver games. AFC West road dogs are 5-7 vs spread in non-division games; AFC South home favorites are 4-7.

Bengals (9-3) @ Vikings (10-2)-- Cincy defense forced 13 3/outs in last four games on 45 drives; in their last two games, Bengal opponents started 11 of 22 drives 80+ yards from goal, and they didn't score a point on any of those 11 drives. Bengals are 5-0 vs spread as an underdog in '09. Minnesota is 3-2-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 3-7-2-17-26-16 points- they have 19 TDs on last 54 drives at home. AFC North road dogs are 5-4 vs spread. NFC North home favorites are 3-8. Last four Viking games, four of last five Bengal games stayed under total.

Jets (6-6) @ Buccaneers (1-11)-- Huge trap game for chirpy Jets; Sanchez is expected to go (partially torn knee ligament). Jersey won last couple games, giving up one TD on 23 drives- they're 2-3 in true road games, and 0-5 when they allow more than 17 points (6-1 when they don't). Buccaneers lost last four games; they're 1-4 at home, with losses by 13-24-7-31 points. Jets have three TDs on last 34 drives, but have TDs on defense, special teams in two of last three games. AFC East favorites are 8-4 vs spread. NFC South underdogs are 6-11 vs spread, 1-5 at home. Last three Tampa games stayed under.

Bills (4-8) @ Chiefs (3-9)-- Buffalo lost four of last five games, but covered three of last four on road; they had three extra days to rest/prep for this after Thursday night loss last week. Chiefs lost last two games 43-14/44-13, giving up 11 TDs on last 36 drives- they failed to cover previous game as a favorite, losing to Oakland in Week 2. Buffalo gave up 406 rushing yards last couple of games, but held last three foes under 20 pts. AFC East underdogs are 5-9 vs spread, 5-5 away from home. AFC West favorites are 3-3, 3-1 at home. Six of last eight Buffalo games stayed under total; four of Chiefs' last five went over.

Packers (8-4) @ Bears (5-7)-- Green Bay (-3) beat Bears 21-15 at Lambeau in season opener, picking Cutler off four times, but 17 of Cutler's 20 picks have come on road. Pack is 3-2 on road, but they beat Rams-Lions-Browns, lost to Vikings-Bucs, so Chicago will be second-best team they've visited this season. Pack won last four games, scoring 30-34-27 in last three (nine TDs on last 34 drives). Chicago lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread); they're 1-5 vs the spread as a dog this year- they're 4-2 at home, losing 41-21 to Arizona, 24-20 to Eagles. NFC North underdogs are 6-2-1 vs spread in division games.

Saints (12-0) @ Falcons (6-6)-- Unbeaten Saints scored 30+ points in seven of last eight games (scored 28 in 8th); they beat rival Falcons 35-27 back in Week 8 (-11.5), despite being outgained 442-437- Atlanta lost three fumbles. Saints have huge issues in secondary, signing guys off street then plugging them right in- they're 4-2 as road favorite. Ryan not expected to play for struggling Birds, who lost three of last four games, scoring two TDs on last 21 drives. Atlanta ran ball for just 226 yards on 78 carries in last three games, and with a backup QB playing, very tough for Atlanta to trade points with high scoring rival.

Lions (2-10) @ Ravens (6-6)-- Short week for Baltimore after Monday's loss at Lambeau; Ravens scored four TDs on last 43 drives in last four games, hard to cover two-TD spread that way. Detroit covered in last minute last week at Cincinnati; they're 1-4-1 as road dog this year, losing away games by 18-24-26-12-17-10 points. NFC North road dogs are 1-6 vs spread this year. AFC North home favorites are 6-9, 5-5 at home. Last five Baltimore games, five of last seven Detroit tilts stayed under the total. Over last six weeks, NFL dogs are 51-34-2 against the spread (60%).

Dolphins (6-6) @ Jaguars (7-5)-- Miami won three of last four games; they're 2-4 on road, winning at Jets/Panthers- they're 6-2 when they score 22+ points, 0-4 when they don't. Jags are 7-5 despite being minus-48 in points- they won four of last five games, are 7-0 when they score 18+ points, 0-5 when they do not. AFC South home favorites are 4-7 vs spread in non-division games; AFC East road dogs are 5-5. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Miami games, but Jags' last three games stayed under. Miami outsacked last four opponents 20-2; Jag QB Garrard has been sacked 10 times in last two games. Big game in playoff race.

Panthers (5-7) @ Patriots (7-5)-- Moore gets another start as Panther QB; in last week's game, Carolina allowed 469 yards to Bucs, but picked Freeman off five times in 16-6 win. If they give Brady 469 yards, Pats will score 35+ pts. In last three games, Panthers scored two TDs on 31 drives, with 12 3/outs. Patriots are 6-0 at home, 4-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 1-16-6-59-10-17 points. Panthers covered three of their last four road games. AFC East home faves are 6-3 vs spread. NFC South road dogs are 5-6 vs spread. Four of last five Carolina games stayed under total.

Seahawks (5-7) @ Texans (5-7)-- Houston lost last four games, all to division foes; they're just 2-4 at home, beating Raiders/49ers (2-3-1 vs spread as fave). Schaub hurt his shoulder last week, returned later in game, is expected to make start here. Seahawks are 5-0 when they allow 20 or less points, 0-7 when they allow more- they're 0-6 vs spread as underdog this year, 0-5 on road, losing on road by 13-17-21-11-26 points. Houston scored 24+ points in four of its last five home games. NFC West road dogs are 10-4 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 4-7. Four of last five Seattle road games went over the total.

Rams (1-11) @ Titans (5-7)-- Tennessee had five-game win streak snapped in Indy last week; their relentless running game (142+ yards in each of their last seven games) should wear down offensively-challenged St Louis squad that scored 16 first quarter points, least in NFL. A bad team needs to get ahead to gain confidence, but Rams scored three offensive TDs on last 26 drives- they scored four TDs on their 62 road drives this season. Titans are 2-2-1 as a fave this season; they have home wins by 17-24-3 points. Rams are 4-2 as a road dog, losing away games by 28-2-35-3-8 points. Doubt that Jeff Fisher will ever get over losing Super Bowl to Rams 10 years ago.

Redskins (3-9) @ Raiders (4-8)-- Washington covered last four games, losing last three in agonizing fashion, by 1-3-3 points; they're 0-6 on road, dropping five games by six or less points. Oakland won its fourth game last week; in the game following its first three wins, Raiders are 0-3, losing by combined score of 85-10 (0-3 vs spread). Eight of 12 Redskin games were decided by six or less points. Oakland is 2-4 at home, beating Eagles/Bengals, two good teams. Five of last six Washington games went over the total. NFC East road teams are 7-9 vs spread in non-division games. AFC West home teams are 10-4.

Chargers (9-3) @ Cowboys (8-4)-- San Diego won last seven games, covering four of last five; they're 5-1 on road, losing by 10 at Pittsburgh, scoring 30.0 ppg in winning last four on foreign soil. Dallas won last five home games since losing home opener to Giants; four of their last five games stayed under total. Cowboys had allowed 11.5 ppg in last four games before the Giants scored 31 points in last 32:00 last week. Rivers averaged 11.4/14.3 ypa in last two tilts, they scored average of 34 ppg in last four. Bolts are +7 in turnovers their last three games, with only one turnover. AFC road underdogs are 5-7.

Eagles (7-5) @ Giants (7-5)-- Philly (+2) pounded Giants 40-17 in Week 8, as Eagles had great balance (211 yards passing, 180 rushing); Philly scored 28.3 ppg in winning last three games. Winner here has chance to tie for first should San Diego win in Dallas. Giants are 4-2 at home, scoring 24-31 points in last two Swamp games. Eagles are 4-2 on road; they've got to be kicking their own butt for losing in Oakland. Over is 8-4 in both Giant, Eagle games this season; last week was first time in seven games Giants won battle for field position. Underdog is 8-1 vs spread in NFC East games this season.

 

[andypanda]

GoodFella

130 DAL -3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 129 SDC Analysis: This is my ONE AND ONLY NFL Game of the Year Release

I'm going to grade this as a 4* (Four-Star) Release- My ONLY 4* Release as a Pregame Pro

 

[Sportsjunky]

colin's sizzling "7"

Ne -13 34 -7

**Dal -3 30-20 top pick

GB -3 30-17

Cincy +6.5 24-20 outright

TB + 3.5 14-13 jets

** OAK +1 28-10 top pick

Philly + 1 27-20

 

[TMaN2000]

Spartans 3* as per his twitter (www.twitter.com/mizzouspartan - check it out, some funny fucking shit on there) is Dallas -3

 

[saminsocal]

norm hitzges dfw 1310 ktck the ticket 75-76 ytd

NFL
Double Plays

· New England – vs Carolina
· Cincinnati + vs Minnesota
· Denver + vs Indianapolis
· Houston – vs Seattle
· San Diego + vs Dallas

Single Plays

· Arizona – vs San Francisco
· Tennessee – vs St. Louis
· Buffalo – vs Kansas City
· Atlanta/New Orleans Over
· Carolina/New England Under

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: San Diego at Dallas (Sunday 12/13 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Diego +3 (+100)
The Chargers are arguably playing as well as any team in the league right now. New Orleans and Indianapolis are grabbing the headlines thanks to perfect play all season. But, few have noticed that the Chargers have reeled off seven wins in a row by a combined score of 218-106. That's a winning margin of over two touchdowns per game! That's at least as good as New Orleans or Indianapolis and do you think either of those teams would be instilled as an underdog here? The under-appreciated Phillip Rivers is a good part of the reason this team is playing at such a high level. He has a QB rating of 105 and has thrown 21 TDs to just 5 INTs, yet he doesn't get the ink like the other top QBs. The Cowboys have the marquee name and the name QB with Tony Romo, but they are just 1-4 vs. teams with a winning record this season. The fact is that they aren't as good as their record. This is a team that has already lost four games outright as a favorite this season, and San Diego is a very loudbarking dog here - one that is 19-6-3 ATS in their last 28 when getting points. Dallas' December woes are now known to all. The Cowboys have a penchant for fading late in the season and are just 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 December games including 1-9-2 in week 14, which usually begins the home stretch of the season in December. This is a good matchup for the Chargers who thrive against good offensive teams like Dallas. San Diego is 8-1 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams that average over 5.5 yards per play. They are also 15-4 ATS over that span when coming off back-to-back wins. Here we get to grab the superior team getting points.

 

[sinkcom]

Doc's sports

4 Unit Play. #12 Take Houston -6 over Seattle (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Texans will not be making the playoffs this season but they have too much talent to throw in the towel for the rest of the season. They are a couple of missed field goals away from being in playoff contention and will likely make a coaching change at the end of this season. The Texans now play the Seahawks, a team that is just 1-5 on the road this season. Seattle never does well when traveling east and the time difference will once again catch up with them. Houston gets back on track with a double digit victory. Houston 31, Seattle 20.

4 Unit Play. #28 Take Oakland +1 over Washington (Sunday 4:05 pm Fox) This is a battle of team that will likely have new coaches next year this afternoon in Oakland, CA. The Raiders really have some impressive victories this season against Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, and Philadelphia and that is a lot more then what the Redskins bring to the table. Washington did everything right last week except finish and the Saints found a way to beat them in overtime. Oakland has played better with QB Gradkowski and expect them to take care of business in the black hole. The Skins must make a long flight and it will cost them in the end. Oakland 21, Washington 16.

5 Unit Play. #33 Take Arizona -3 ½ n Francisco (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Teams in the NFC West had a chance to put away the Cardinals early in the season but that did not happen and now the birds have turned it around in a major way. Arizona has won four of their last five games and is 5-1 on the road this season. Their only road loss came at the end to Tennessee in a game that Kurt Warner did not play. The 49ers saw their playoffs hopes end last week with their loss to Seattle and now they are just playing out the season. QB Smith has looked good at times, but just does not win games and that is the bottom line in this business. Arizona has too many weapons and they lock up the division on Monday Night Football. Arizona 34, San Francisco 20.

Opinion Play:
Pittsburgh -10 over Cleveland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<TABLE class=tborder id=post7360365 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>Field Bet<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_7360365", true); </SCRIPT>
RX Junior

Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Mentor,Ohio
Posts: 15


</TD><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_7360365 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid"><!-- icon and title -->

<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Hilton gameday sports

sunday nfl

3* new england -13
2* denver+7,dallas -3
1* sanfran +3
<!-- / message --></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[ARGLSG]

does anyone have budin or demarco's early releases?

DeMarco has Houston Texans, as stated in his fool-proof Friday night appearance on Comcast in Chicago.

 

[CHANCE]

HILTON CONTEST
==============

Top play of all contestants (6-7 ATS YTD): San Diego

Top Contestant (43-21-1):
Dnvr / KC / NOR / Dall / SF

Top 3 contetstants have Dallas & 3 of top 4 have Dnvr

---------------------------

Bottom Contestant (23-42):
Dnvr / NYJ / NE / Hstn / SD

Bottom 6 contetsnats all have San Diego
3 of bottom 4 have Hstn

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 36-34 –4.50%

3% NY JETS -3
3% BUFFALO PK
3% GREEN BAY -3.5
3% DALLAS -3
3% PHILADELPHIA PK
3% SAN FRANCISCO +3.5
3% NEW ORLEANS/ATLANTA OVER 50

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Vic

Eagles (+1) over GIANTS
Eagles 24, Bears 20
Last week, we had the Birds winning, but not covering. They did both. This time, we'll go for the double dip. And why not? The last meeting had the Eagles breezing to a 40-17 win at the Linc on Nov. 1. We're not looking for another blowout, but with DeSean Jackson back in the lineup (769 yards and seven touchdowns), it should be a solid night for the Green. The Birds have had great success at the Meadowlands, winning and covering five of the last seven. And making this selection even tastier, the New Yorkers have run into quite a rough patch. The Big Blue has lost five of the last seven, while covering only once during that stretch. All that plus Michael Vick (one rushing TD and one passing TD Sunday at Atlanta) finally throwing a scare into opposing defenses.

PATRIOTS (-13) over Panthers
As long as Bill Belichick doesn't bench the players he sent home from practice (Randy Moss, Adalius Thomas, Gary Guyton and Derrick Burgess) New England will be just fine. Actually, this could be the spark that lights the fire under the Patriots for the run to the AFC East title. Now that Tom Brady's wife, Gisele Bundchen, has delivered a healthy baby boy, Mr. Perfect can get back to the business of being Mr. Perfect. He is perfect at home this season, with a spotless 6-0 mark, and has a run of 18-0 in Foxborough since 2006. This Carolina team is the perfect opponent for the Pats and their lackluster pass defense. The Panthers have newbie Matt Moore at quarterback and will rely more on the run than the pass. With New England outscoring the opposition, 117-31, the last three at home (an average margin of 28.7 points per game), covering the double-digit spot should be a best-bet breeze.

Packers (-3) over BEARS
Let's just look for the better team, and that is clearly Green Bay. The Packers are coming off a sloppy, but strong win over the Ravens (27-14), and are smack-dab in the middle of the wild-card mix. The Pack, which has the best defense in the NFL, has covered six of the last eight overall and eight of the last 10 at Chicago. The Bears are pathetic against the spread (covering only one of the last eight), so we're all over the Packers.

TITANS (-13) over Rams
Nothing wrong with ending a five-game winning streak at Indy, where many winning streaks have gone to to die. Now Tennessee can jump back on track against the rotten Rams. St. Louis has one stinkin' win in the last 22 games, so we know that a W is out of the question. Covering the 13 should come easy with Chris Johnson, the NFL's leading rusher, against a Rams defense that ranks among the worst, allowing 146.2 yards per game on the ground.

Saints (-10) over FALCONS
New Orleans almost blew its perfect season by putting it on cruise control against Washington Sunday, but escaped with a 33-30 OT win. That will not happen again. Saints by at least two dozen.

Cardinals (-3) over 49ERS
With weapons like Larry Fitzgerald (eight catches, 143 yards and one TD Sunday against theVikings) and Anquan Boldin (seven catches, 98 yards and two TDs) running wild, Kurt Warner's life is really not that complicated. Arizona has covered six of the last eight overall, with one push, and six of the last seven on the road. And since San Francisco has abandoned the running game (53 yards Sunday), the Cards will pound the one-dimensional Niners for an easy win.

JAGUARS (-2) over Dolphins
Without much fanfare, Jacksonville is holding down the second wild-card spot, and it's because the Jags have ripped off a 5-0 run at home since the beginning of October.

Broncos (+7) over COLTS
Indy goes to 13-0, but Denver should be able to stay competitive to the final gun.

Bengals (+7) over VIKINGS
Cincy's biggest loss on the road this season was by only three points. Grab the 'dog, or the Cats in this case.

Jets (-3) over BUCCANEERS
New Yorkers are 5-0 against the spread vs. Tampa, while the Bucs have covered only one of the last nine at home.

CHIEFS (Pick) over Bills
It's hard to like either of these teams, which have come up way short this season, so we'll go with the home club on our "Monopoly Money Only" game.

RAVENS (-13) over Lions
Baltimore has three cupcakes and Pittsburgh left. The Ravens need to devour the cupcakes.

TEXANS (-6) over Seahawks
Seattle has covered only one of its last seven on the road, so Houston becomes a tasty little play.

RAIDERS (+1) over Redskins
Washington is on an 0-9 roll on the road, so look for the Silver & Black to steal their fifth win.

COWBOYS (-3) over Chargers
Tony Romo looked very capable against New York, and Dallas is always tough at home (11-3 last 2 years).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Phone Service

3* jets, denver, washington, over dallas/san diego, under new
england/carolina

2* new orleans, new england, san diego, arizona

 

[Sirduke]

Sirduke Sports

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports One and only play in NFL</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>12/13/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Members</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>107</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Cincinnati Bengals +7</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>7*</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>
Good Luck

 

[ACneverwins]

Bob Valentino
Sunday's 40 Dime NFL winner ...
40 DIME: DALLAS COWBOYS

NOTE: If your man has this spread at 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take the Cowboys at -3. I fully expect a double-digit win for Dallas today, but if I'm wrong and this ends up being a 24-21 or 31-28 nail-biter, we do NOT want to get beat by the hook.


Paid by me! good luck

Can someone get Budin